tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1920088135580776574.post3822388151802500857..comments2013-10-28T08:30:20.487-07:00Comments on Ask Doctor Math: How Big is That Number? Special "March Madness" Episode 2^63.drmathhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17936175968300765200noreply@blogger.comBlogger7125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1920088135580776574.post-64441391948661674002009-03-21T23:18:00.000-07:002009-03-21T23:18:00.000-07:00Mr. July, it's probably no longer relevant to you ...Mr. July, it's probably no longer relevant to you (sorry), but I think under the rules you describe, you'd maximize your expected value by picking any upset where you felt the probability of the upset was greater than 1/3. Your expected number of points would then be greater than the expected number if you picked the favorite. From the data I have, it looks like this is generally true of the 9-8 seed upset (probability .5) and the 10-7 seed upset (probability .38), but no others.<BR/>-DrMdrmathhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17936175968300765200noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1920088135580776574.post-63705288406177209962009-03-20T20:31:00.000-07:002009-03-20T20:31:00.000-07:00Give me your thoughts!Give me your thoughts!kngbshpphttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16806578147536374147noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1920088135580776574.post-89194869939110451972009-03-20T20:28:00.000-07:002009-03-20T20:28:00.000-07:00Mr July you need to decide if no. 8 beating no. 9 ...Mr July you need to decide if no. 8 beating no. 9 is an upset. The probability of a no. 9 beating a no. 8 increases as you spread the spread ie 7 and 10, 6 and 11, 5 and 12, 4 and 13, 3 and 14, 2 and 15 1 and 16. In my view safe picks are 1, 2, 3... just betting on the acceptance that the best ranked team will win. Thanks to know ya! lol.kngbshpphttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16806578147536374147noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1920088135580776574.post-80145361829397504252009-03-20T20:25:00.000-07:002009-03-20T20:25:00.000-07:00Oh by the way you answered my question of how many...Oh by the way you answered my question of how many possible right answers you could have in the bracket picks because I am following Obama's picks in the road to the final four. Its 63 right!kngbshpphttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16806578147536374147noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1920088135580776574.post-32078813782882698732009-03-20T20:22:00.000-07:002009-03-20T20:22:00.000-07:00So it seems that I will get a perfect A in relatio...So it seems that I will get a perfect A in relational algebra as it applies to the probability that anyone who has any knowledge on relational algebra will get an A. I have some knowledge on the subject but I cant predict how the emotions of players, the reputation of the school, or who will win the 8 and 9 seeds. You could say that if I guessed every 8 and 9 seed correctly my odds of winning are better than those who just guessed 3/4 of those possibilities. What I want to know is, how close is Obama to being right? If he is: does he really do enough to run our country? If he doesnt: does he have enough "Joe" in him to do what he says he can do? That is the real question my friend!!!!!!kngbshpphttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16806578147536374147noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1920088135580776574.post-64244366624202627502009-03-18T20:19:00.000-07:002009-03-18T20:19:00.000-07:00A ha. But some tournament brackets will skew scori...A ha. But some tournament brackets will skew scoring in favor of picking upsets. What happens if I get two points for every upset (higher seed beats lower seed) vs. only one for every non-upset?<BR/><BR/>How many upsets should I pick?Mr. Julyhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01632307246555124407noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1920088135580776574.post-72179938463754961782009-03-17T23:17:00.000-07:002009-03-17T23:17:00.000-07:00I would just like to point out that, as a former n...I would just like to point out that, as a former nerdy kid who knew nothing about math OR basketball, this was still fascinating and highly entertaining.Scattercathttp://www.blogger.com/profile/00302815654553659644noreply@blogger.com